Prediction of Felix Gill vs Daniel Michalski at M25 Santa Margherita di Pula 10-11-25

• How does Felix Gill perform on their second serve compared to Daniel Michalski? Felix Gill has a slight edge, winning 43.02% of second serve points versus Michalski's 40.35% in the recent form.
• In return games, Felix Gill shows strength by winning 44.51% of opponent's second serve points against Michalski's 43.16%.
• For first serve returns, Gill outperforms Michalski again, with percentages at 28.16% for Gill and 25.85% for Michalski.
• When under pressure, Gill has a better breakpoint-save rate at 49.34%, compared to Michalski's 43.80%.
• Looking at overall match wins over the last year, Gill leads with a 76.60% win rate, whereas Michalski has a 63.64% win rate.
• Both players perform best on clay courts, achieving a 66% win rate on this surface.
• What’s the tournament-level difference between the players? Gill has mostly competed in Future/Satellite/ITF $10K events and won 76.60%, while Michalski has played more Challengers/ITF > $10K tournaments, with a 48.78% win rate.
• In their only direct head-to-head matchup, Michalski won the match, which involved three sets.
• On average, Michalski faces slightly more challenging competitors, indicated by a higher average opponent rank of 383.82 versus Gill's 427.02.
• In deciding sets, Gill shows a slight advantage, winning 75% compared to Michalski's 71% over the last year.

Editorial Prediction (October 11, 2025, UTC):

When analyzing recent performance, Felix Gill demonstrates a slight superiority in serve and return statistics, exhibiting a higher percentage of points won on both second serves and returns. His superior breakpoint-saving capacity also suggests resilience under pressure.

Despite Daniel Michalski's previous victory in their only head-to-head matchup, Gill's overall match-winning percentage over the past year indicates stronger consistency. Gill's ability to maintain a competitive edge, especially in crucial deciding sets, further highlights his potential for success in high-stakes scenarios.

While both players excel on clay, recent form and overall statistics favor Felix Gill as the likely winner in their upcoming tennis match.